Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jordan vs Iraq

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sub
Al Naimat Y. In: Fakhoury O.
Out: Al Naimat Y.
41' Event
Olwan A.
(Penalty)
54'
Abu Dahab H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jordan
15%
Draws
85%
Iraq
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iraq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Iraq have won more games recently than Jordan.
  • Model gives Jordan a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Iraq arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Jordan Clean Sheet 68%
Iraq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jordan Iraq
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.23 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Jordan vs Iraq
1:0
Jun 10, 2025 World Championship
Jordan vs Iraq
0:1
Nov 14, 2024 World Championship
Iraq vs Jordan
0:0
Jan 29, 2024 Asian Cup
Iraq vs Jordan
2:3
Oct 17, 2023 Friendly International
Jordan vs Iraq
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jordan 59 / 100
Iraq 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jordan Iraq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jordan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jordan found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Iraq let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Iraq registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jordan VS Iraq
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jordan

(Home)
28 Jun
Jordan
1 : 3
Argentina
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1
Jordan
07 Jun
Colombia
2 : 0
Jordan
31 May
Switzerland
4 : 1
Jordan
Page 1 of 6

Iraq

(Away)
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
22 Jun
France
3 : 0
Iraq
16 Jun
Iraq
1 : 4
Norway
10 Jun
Iraq
0 : 2
Venezuela
04 Jun
Spain
1 : 1
Iraq
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palestine 1
Saudi Arabia 2
Jordan 1
Iraq 0
Morocco 1
Syria 0
Algeria 1
United Arab Emirates 2
Semi-finals
Saudi Arabia 0
Jordan 1
Morocco 3
United Arab Emirates 0
Final
Jordan 2
Morocco 3
Saudi Arabia 0
United Arab Emirates 0