Sport Picks

Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1

Ben Guerdane

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

JS Kairouan play Ben Guerdane in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, JS Kairouan averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Ben Guerdane averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, JS Kairouan won 0, Ben Guerdane won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 30, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for JS Kairouan and 1.00 for Ben Guerdane. This points to a Ben Guerdane double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

JS Kairouan

18%

Draws

49%

Ben Guerdane

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Ben Guerdane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

JS Kairouan picked up more points recently compared to Ben Guerdane.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 49%

Over 2.5 Goals 26%

Over 3.5 Goals 16%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

JS Kairouan Clean Sheet 23%

Ben Guerdane Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 44%

Second Half Goal 47%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	JS Kairouan	Ben Guerdane
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	8
Draws	4	11
Losses	18	11
Goals Scored	0.63	0.6
Goals Conceded	1.43	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1

JS Kairouan vs Ben Guerdane

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Nov 1, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1

Ben Guerdane vs JS Kairouan

Possession: 47% - 40% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Apr 3, 2021 Ligue Professionnelle 1

JS Kairouan vs Ben Guerdane

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 1 - 4

1:3

Jan 23, 2021 Ligue Professionnelle 1

Ben Guerdane vs JS Kairouan

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 0 - 4

2:0

Feb 16, 2020 Ligue Professionnelle 1

JS Kairouan vs Ben Guerdane

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JS Kairouan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Ben Guerdane Compare

Top Goalscorer Samb M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JS Kairouan 34 / 100

Ben Guerdane 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

JS Kairouan Ben Guerdane

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ben Guerdane or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +30%

5.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

JS Kairouan attacking → ← attacking Ben Guerdane

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JS Kairouan scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Ben Guerdane let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

JS Kairouan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ben Guerdane lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 35

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Club Africain	30	19	9	2	43:10	66
2	Esperance Tunis	30	18	9	3	45:11	63
3	CS Sfaxien	30	18	8	4	44:13	62
4	Stade Tunisien	30	12	12	6	28:14	48
5	Monastir	30	11	12	7	28:19	45
6	Zarzis	30	11	8	11	30:28	41
7	Etoile Sahel	30	11	8	11	28:30	41
8	Metlaoui	30	9	13	8	19:25	40
9	Jeunesse Sportive	30	10	6	14	24:33	36
10	Ben Guerdane	30	8	11	11	18:22	35
11	AS Marsa	30	11	2	17	26:33	35
12	CA Bizertin	30	8	9	13	18:29	33
13	Olympique Beja	30	9	5	16	18:39	32
14	JS Kairouan	30	9	4	17	20:41	31
15	Soliman	30	6	9	15	15:31	27
16	AS Gabes	30	3	9	18	11:37	18