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JSM Tiaret vs El Khemis

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Sun, Apr 27, 2025
2 - 5
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

JSM Tiaret play El Khemis in the Ligue 2 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, JSM Tiaret averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. El Khemis averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, JSM Tiaret won 1, El Khemis won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2025 ended 2:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for JSM Tiaret and 0.88 for El Khemis. This points to a El Khemis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
JSM Tiaret
16%
Draws
43%
El Khemis
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: El Khemis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • JSM Tiaret picked up more points recently compared to El Khemis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
JSM Tiaret Clean Sheet 25%
El Khemis Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JSM Tiaret El Khemis
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.16 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Ligue 2
JSM Tiaret vs El Khemis
2:5
Dec 13, 2024 Ligue 2
El Khemis vs JSM Tiaret
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 Ligue 2
JSM Tiaret vs El Khemis
2:1
Nov 25, 2023 Ligue 2
El Khemis vs JSM Tiaret
2:0
May 20, 2023 Ligue 2
El Khemis vs JSM Tiaret
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JSM Tiaret 42 / 100
El Khemis 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JSM Tiaret El Khemis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: El Khemis or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

JSM Tiaret attacking → ← attacking El Khemis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JSM Tiaret scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

El Khemis let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

JSM Tiaret went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

El Khemis lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 32
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rouisset30225345:1471
2Harrach30217252:1570
3JS Djijel301461045:2548
4Annaba30138945:3447
5MO Constantine301341343:3943
6IB Khemis El Khechna301261234:3442
7US Chaouia301261233:3542
8CA Batna301191039:3741
9Chelghoum301181130:3141
10Khroub301171244:3840
11Bordj Menail301171230:3240
12MSP Batna301091130:3538
13Telaghema30814831:3237
14Ouargla30781530:4327
15Olympique Magrane30542128:6617
16US Souf30342329:7810
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ES Ben Aknoun301910144:1467
2RC Kouba301510543:2255
3JS El Biar30167737:2155
4Hussein Dey301113635:2546
5WA Mostaganem301271135:3243
6CR Temouchent3010101032:2540
7ASM Oran3010101021:2240
8Kolea3010101028:3240
9Saida30912928:2939
10JSM Tiaret30913832:3037
11Arba301071335:3737
12Bechar Djedid301071340:4637
13GC Mascara301091131:3837
14El Khemis30881431:3330
15Oued Sly30741922:4222
16SC Mecheria30332419:6510