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Juan Aurich vs Alfredo Salinas

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2018 Estadio Elías Aguirre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juan Aurich play Alfredo Salinas in the Segunda Division 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Juan Aurich averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Alfredo Salinas averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Juan Aurich won 1, Alfredo Salinas won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 14, 2018 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Juan Aurich and 1.25 for Alfredo Salinas. This points to a Juan Aurich double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Juan Aurich
21%
Draws
29%
Alfredo Salinas
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Juan Aurich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Juan Aurich picked up more points recently compared to Alfredo Salinas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Juan Aurich Clean Sheet 19%
Alfredo Salinas Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Aurich Alfredo Salinas
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.18 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2018 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Alfredo Salinas
5:0
Jul 1, 2018 Liga 2
Alfredo Salinas vs Juan Aurich
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Aurich 49 / 100
Alfredo Salinas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Aurich Alfredo Salinas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Juan Aurich or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Juan Aurich attacking → ← attacking Alfredo Salinas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juan Aurich scored in 51% of their last 43 games.

Alfredo Salinas let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Juan Aurich went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Alfredo Salinas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 22
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cesar Vallejo28195455:1962
2Carlos Mannucci28167566:3055
3Cienciano28174763:3055
4Union Huaral28146858:3948
5Hualgayoc28139649:3848
6Juan Aurich28145951:2747
7Alianza Atl.28145948:3747
8Atletico Grau281261058:4242
9Deportivo Coopsol28910946:3237
10Los Chankas281141338:3637
11Los Caimanes28761538:5727
12Sport Victoria28671534:5425
13Sport Loreto28661638:6824
14Alfredo Salinas28561725:6621
15Willy Serrato28242223:11510