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Juan Aurich vs Juan Pablo II

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2024
Sat, Apr 13, 2024
0 - 3
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juan Aurich host Juan Pablo II in the Liga 2 2024. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Juan Aurich have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Juan Pablo II's 1.63 scored and 2.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Juan Pablo II slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 15, 2024, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.85 xG vs 1.36) point toward Juan Pablo II. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Juan Aurich
6%
Draws
90%
Juan Pablo II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Juan Pablo II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juan Pablo II come out ahead of Juan Aurich on wins alone.
  • Model gives Juan Pablo II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Juan Aurich Clean Sheet 18%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Aurich Juan Pablo II
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 Liga 2
Juan Pablo II vs Juan Aurich
3:0
Apr 13, 2024 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Juan Pablo II
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Aurich 10 / 100
Juan Pablo II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Aurich Juan Pablo II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juan Pablo II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Juan Aurich found the back of the net in 30% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Juan Pablo II registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Juan Pablo II
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Huanuco1292130:729
2San Marcos1272325:1423
3Llacuabamba1263330:1021
4Pirata1251614:1916
5Juan Pablo II1243513:1515
6ADA Jaen1243516:2415
7Carlos Stein12001210:490
8Juan Aurich00000:00
9Union Huaral00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC1696126:1333
2Santos FC1674515:1225
3Ayacucho1673615:1424
4Dep. Municipal1648416:1520
5AD Cantolao1662816:2020
6Deportivo Coopsol1654721:2719
7U. San Martin1639419:2218
8Moquegua1625912:2211
9Binacional1671820:1510