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Juan Aurich vs Pirata Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2024
Sat, Apr 27, 2024
0 - 3
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juan Aurich host Pirata in the Liga 2 2024. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Juan Aurich at 0.43 goals for, 1.77 against; Pirata at 1.61 for, 1.26 against. Past meetings favor Pirata slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 30, 2024, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.55, favoring Pirata. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Juan Aurich
20%
Draws
80%
Pirata
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pirata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Pirata have won more games recently than Juan Aurich.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Pirata taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Juan Aurich Clean Sheet 15%
Pirata Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Aurich Pirata
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.43 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 Liga 2
Pirata vs Juan Aurich
3:0
Apr 27, 2024 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Pirata
0:3
Jul 29, 2023 Liga 2
Juan Aurich vs Pirata
1:1
May 9, 2023 Liga 2
Pirata vs Juan Aurich
1:1
Jul 3, 2022 Liga 2
Pirata vs Juan Aurich
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Aurich 10 / 100
Pirata 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Aurich Pirata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pirata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pirata conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Pirata registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Juan Aurich scored in 31% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pirata
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juan Aurich

(Home)
06 Jul
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
03 Jul
Juan Aurich
0 : 3
San Marcos
30 Jun
Pirata
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
15 Jun
Juan Pablo II
3 : 0
Juan Aurich
09 Jun
Juan Aurich
0 : 3
Llacuabamba
Page 1 of 6

Pirata

(Away)
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1
Pirata
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Huanuco 12 9 2 1 30:7 29
2 San Marcos 12 7 2 3 25:14 23
3 Llacuabamba 12 6 3 3 30:10 21
4 Pirata 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
5 Juan Pablo II 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
6 ADA Jaen 12 4 3 5 16:24 15
7 Carlos Stein 12 0 0 12 10:49 0
8 Juan Aurich 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Union Huaral 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga 2 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 9 6 1 26:13 33
2 Santos FC 16 7 4 5 15:12 25
3 Ayacucho 16 7 3 6 15:14 24
4 Dep. Municipal 16 4 8 4 16:15 20
5 AD Cantolao 16 6 2 8 16:20 20
6 Deportivo Coopsol 16 5 4 7 21:27 19
7 U. San Martin 16 3 9 4 19:22 18
8 Moquegua 16 2 5 9 12:22 11
9 Binacional 16 7 1 8 20:15 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)