Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juan Pablo II vs FBC Melgar

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Municipal de la Juventud
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Cuesta B.
Assist: Caceres J.
45'
Escobar J.
56' Event
Peralta M.

AI Match Summary

Juan Pablo II host FBC Melgar in the Liga 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Juan Pablo II at 0.63 goals for, 1.75 against; FBC Melgar at 1.88 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Juan Pablo II have won 0 to FBC Melgar's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.81, favoring FBC Melgar. FBC Melgar in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Juan Pablo II
28%
Draws
50%
FBC Melgar
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FBC Melgar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • FBC Melgar has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Juan Pablo II.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for FBC Melgar.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga 1 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 11%
FBC Melgar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Pablo II FBC Melgar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs FBC Melgar
1:1
Aug 5, 2025 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Juan Pablo II
1:1
Jul 2, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs FBC Melgar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juan Pablo II Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

FBC Melgar Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuesta B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Pablo II 22 / 100
FBC Melgar 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Pablo II FBC Melgar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juan Pablo II scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

FBC Melgar let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Juan Pablo II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FBC Melgar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juan Pablo II VS FBC Melgar
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016