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Juan Pablo II vs Union Huaral

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2024
Sat, May 11, 2024
3 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juan Pablo II play Union Huaral in the Liga 2 2024. Juan Pablo II are favorites here. Recently, Juan Pablo II averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Union Huaral averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Juan Pablo II won 2, Union Huaral won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 6, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Juan Pablo II and 1.75 for Union Huaral. This points to a Juan Pablo II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Juan Pablo II
20%
Draws
16%
Union Huaral
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juan Pablo II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Juan Pablo II picked up more points recently compared to Union Huaral.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 12%
Union Huaral Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juan Pablo II Union Huaral
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.19 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Juan Pablo II
0:3
May 11, 2024 Liga 2
Juan Pablo II vs Union Huaral
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juan Pablo II 60 / 100
Union Huaral 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juan Pablo II Union Huaral

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juan Pablo II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Juan Pablo II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Juan Pablo II attacking → ← attacking Union Huaral

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juan Pablo II scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Union Huaral let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Juan Pablo II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Union Huaral lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 11
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Alianza Huanuco1292130:729
2San Marcos1272325:1423
3Llacuabamba1263330:1021
4Pirata1251614:1916
5Juan Pablo II1243513:1515
6ADA Jaen1243516:2415
7Carlos Stein12001210:490
8Juan Aurich00000:00
9Union Huaral00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Comerciantes FC1696126:1333
2Santos FC1674515:1225
3Ayacucho1673615:1424
4Dep. Municipal1648416:1520
5AD Cantolao1662816:2020
6Deportivo Coopsol1654721:2719
7U. San Martin1639419:2218
8Moquegua1625912:2211
9Binacional1671820:1510