Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juarez U21 vs Atlas U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Carmona J.
82'
Renteria R.
85' Event
Carmona J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Juarez U21 and Atlas U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juarez U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Juarez U21
15%
Draws
48%
Atlas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atlas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlas U21's 1.31 goals per match outpaces what Juarez U21 have produced (1.25).
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Atlas U21 taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Juarez U21 Clean Sheet 24%
Atlas U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez U21 Atlas U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 3 2
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Atlas U21
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Juarez U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmona J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Atlas U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez U21 21 / 100
Atlas U21 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez U21 Atlas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlas U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Juarez U21 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Atlas U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Juarez U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juarez U21 VS Atlas U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez U21

(Home)
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2
Pachuca U21
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1
Juarez U21
21 Aug
Juarez U21
1 : 0
Club America U21
15 Aug
Monterrey U21
1 : 1
Juarez U21
31 Jul
Juarez U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
Page 1 of 6

Atlas U21

(Away)
05 Sept
Atlas U21
4 : 0
Atlante U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Queretaro U21
22 Aug
Cruz Azul U21
3 : 2
Atlas U21
15 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Tigres UANL U21
01 Aug
Atlas U21
0 : 1
Monterrey U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)