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Juarez U21 vs Monterrey U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Fri, Mar 13, 2026
3 - 4
03:00 PM
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Match Events

16' Event
20' Event
30' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Juarez U21 and Monterrey U21 finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterrey U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Juarez U21
20%
Draws
34%
Monterrey U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juarez U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Juarez U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Juarez U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez U21 Monterrey U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 3 0
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Monterrey U21
3:4
Oct 21, 2025 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Juarez U21
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez U21 41 / 100
Monterrey U21 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez U21 Monterrey U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Juarez U21's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Monterrey U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Juarez U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juarez U21 VS Monterrey U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez U21

(Home)
31 Jul
Juarez U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
17 Jul
Juarez U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
10 May
Guadalajara Chivas U21
0 : 0
Juarez U21
08 May
Juarez U21
0 : 0
Guadalajara Chivas U21
02 May
Juarez U21
3 : 0
Toluca U21
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Monterrey U21

(Away)
01 Aug
Atlas U21
0 : 1
Monterrey U21
26 Jul
Necaxa U21
0 : 3
Monterrey U21
18 Jul
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Santos Laguna U21
03 May
Monterrey U21
2 : 3
Pachuca U21
30 Apr
Pachuca U21
2 : 1
Monterrey U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)