Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juarez U21 vs Necaxa U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Carmona J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Juarez U21 and Necaxa U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juarez U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Juarez U21
20%
Draws
34%
Necaxa U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juarez U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Necaxa U21 haven't matched Juarez U21's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Juarez U21 taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Juarez U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez U21 Necaxa U21
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 3 0
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.16 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Necaxa U21
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Juarez U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmona J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Necaxa U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez U21 95 / 100
Necaxa U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez U21 Necaxa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Necaxa U21 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Juarez U21 scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Juarez U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Necaxa U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juarez U21 VS Necaxa U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez U21

(Home)
31 Jul
Juarez U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
17 Jul
Juarez U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
10 May
Guadalajara Chivas U21
0 : 0
Juarez U21
08 May
Juarez U21
0 : 0
Guadalajara Chivas U21
02 May
Juarez U21
3 : 0
Toluca U21
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Necaxa U21

(Away)
02 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 0
Necaxa U21
26 Jul
Necaxa U21
0 : 3
Monterrey U21
16 Jul
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Atlante U21
26 Apr
Cruz Azul U21
3 : 1
Necaxa U21
22 Apr
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)