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Juarez U21 vs Pachuca U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Fri, Sep 4, 2026
1 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Zavala I.
28' Event
Molina B.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Pachuca U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pachuca U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Juarez U21
15%
Draws
28%
Pachuca U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Juarez U21 have won more games recently than Pachuca U21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Juarez U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Juarez U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Pachuca U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez U21 Pachuca U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Pachuca U21
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Juarez U21
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Pachuca U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pachuca U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zavala I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez U21 41 / 100
Pachuca U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez U21 Pachuca U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juarez U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juarez U21 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Pachuca U21 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Pachuca U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juarez U21 VS Pachuca U21
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez U21

(Home)
23 Oct
Necaxa U21
2 : 3
Juarez U21
20 Oct
Juarez U21
0 : 2
Atlante U21
17 Oct
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 1
Juarez U21
10 Oct
Juarez U21
1 : 0
Club Tijuana U21
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
Page 1 of 6

Pachuca U21

(Away)
25 Oct
Club America U21
2 : 1
Pachuca U21
21 Oct
Pachuca U21
3 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
18 Oct
Monterrey U21
3 : 2
Pachuca U21
11 Oct
Pachuca U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
26 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
2 : 0
Pachuca U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 14 14 0 0 35:10 39
2 Club Leon U21 14 11 0 3 25:18 29
3 Club America U21 14 8 0 6 22:18 24
4 Club Tijuana U21 13 8 0 5 20:18 24
5 Puebla U21 13 7 0 6 17:14 22
6 UNAM Pumas U21 14 6 0 8 16:17 22
7 Guadalajara Chivas U21 14 7 0 7 21:24 22
8 Santos Laguna U21 14 7 0 7 17:19 21
9 Atlante U21 14 7 0 7 22:26 21
10 Monterrey U21 13 7 0 6 28:22 20
11 Atletico San Luis U21 14 7 0 7 26:30 19
12 Necaxa U21 14 7 0 7 16:20 19
13 Juarez U21 14 6 0 8 14:18 18
14 Pachuca U21 14 4 0 10 16:22 17
15 Atlas U21 14 4 0 10 17:20 16
16 Tigres UANL U21 14 5 0 9 19:25 16
17 Cruz Azul U21 14 6 0 8 22:27 14
18 Queretaro U21 13 3 0 10 20:25 9
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)