Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juarez vs Atletico San Luis

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ayon E.
44' Event
Ayon E.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Geraldino dos Santos Galvao J. P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX 2025/2026 game between Juarez and Atletico San Luis finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Juarez
15%
Draws
49%
Atletico San Luis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico San Luis's 1.62 goals per match outpaces what Juarez have produced (1.52).
  • Atletico San Luis are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Juarez Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico San Luis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez Atletico San Luis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Atletico San Luis
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Juarez
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Juarez
1:0
Oct 28, 2024 Liga MX
Juarez vs Atletico San Luis
2:4
Apr 8, 2024 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Juarez
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayon E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Atletico San Luis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez 22 / 100
Atletico San Luis 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez Atletico San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico San Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juarez found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Atletico San Luis has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Atletico San Luis has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juarez VS Atletico San Luis
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez

(Home)
31 Aug
Toluca
4 : 0
Juarez
22 Aug
Juarez
1 : 2
Club America
16 Aug
Monterrey
6 : 1
Juarez
12 Aug
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
Juarez
08 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3
Juarez
Page 1 of 6

Atletico San Luis

(Away)
31 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 3
Atletico San Luis
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis
1 : 1
Pachuca
16 Aug
Club America
3 : 0
Atletico San Luis
12 Aug
Orlando City
3 : 2
Atletico San Luis
10 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNAM Pumas 17 10 6 1 34:17 36
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 33:17 36
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 31:18 33
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 25:19 31
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 28:16 30
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 16:18 26
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 28:18 25
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 20:17 25
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 19:17 23
10 Club Leon 17 7 1 9 22:32 22
11 Queretaro 17 4 8 5 17:21 20
12 Juarez 17 5 4 8 26:32 19
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 22:24 18
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 24:27 18
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 19:25 18
16 Mazatlan FC 17 4 3 10 22:37 15
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 13:26 13
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 20:38 12
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)