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Juarez vs Monterrey

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Djurdjevic U.
Assist: Orellano L.
9'
Mosquera M.
14'
Manriquez J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX 2025/2026 game between Juarez and Monterrey finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Juarez
15%
Draws
46%
Monterrey
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juarez come out ahead of Monterrey on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Juarez Clean Sheet 16%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez Monterrey
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Monterrey
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Juarez
4:2
Feb 9, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Monterrey
2:1
Sep 19, 2024 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Juarez
3:2
Feb 24, 2024 Liga MX
Juarez vs Monterrey
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres Ramirez I. J. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Monterrey Compare

Top Goalscorer Djurdjevic U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corona J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez 31 / 100
Monterrey 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez Monterrey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juarez's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Monterrey let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Juarez stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juarez VS Monterrey
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez

(Home)
08 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3
Juarez
05 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 2
Juarez
01 Aug
Juarez
1 : 5
UNAM Pumas
25 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 0
Juarez
18 Jul
Juarez
0 : 1
Puebla
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Monterrey

(Away)
05 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 2
Orlando City
02 Aug
Atlas
0 : 2
Monterrey
26 Jul
Necaxa
2 : 1
Monterrey
19 Jul
Monterrey
3 : 2
Santos Laguna
04 Jul
Atlante
1 : 1
Monterrey
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNAM Pumas 17 10 6 1 34:17 36
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 33:17 36
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 31:18 33
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 25:19 31
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 28:16 30
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 16:18 26
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 28:18 25
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 20:17 25
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 19:17 23
10 Club Leon 17 7 1 9 22:32 22
11 Queretaro 17 4 8 5 17:21 20
12 Juarez 17 5 4 8 26:32 19
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 22:24 18
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 24:27 18
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 19:25 18
16 Mazatlan FC 17 4 3 10 22:37 15
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 13:26 13
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 20:38 12
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)