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Juarez vs Pachuca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Garcia D.
27'
Murillo J.
42'
Lopez E.

AI Match Summary

Pachuca in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pachuca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Juarez
30%
Draws
47%
Pachuca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Juarez haven't matched Pachuca's recent run of results.
  • Pachuca are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Juarez Clean Sheet 10%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez Pachuca
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Pachuca
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Juarez
2:0
Nov 24, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Pachuca
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Pachuca
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Pachuca
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pachuca Compare

Top Goalscorer Rondon S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bautista A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez 26 / 100
Pachuca 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez Pachuca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juarez scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Pachuca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Pachuca registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juarez VS Pachuca
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez

(Home)
24 Oct
Necaxa
1 : 1
Juarez
21 Oct
Juarez
0 : 1
Atlante
18 Oct
Cruz Azul
5 : 0
Juarez
10 Oct
Juarez
1 : 1
Club Tijuana
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
Page 1 of 6

Pachuca

(Away)
26 Oct
Club America
1 : 2
Pachuca
22 Oct
Pachuca
1 : 2
Cruz Azul
19 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Pachuca
11 Oct
Pachuca
3 : 3
Necaxa
27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0
Pachuca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 14 8 4 2 34:19 28
2 Cruz Azul 14 8 2 4 32:23 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas 14 7 5 2 21:12 26
4 Atlas 14 7 3 4 25:26 24
5 Toluca 14 6 5 3 29:19 23
6 Club Leon 14 6 4 4 21:18 22
7 Club Tijuana 14 5 6 3 22:18 21
8 Monterrey 13 6 2 5 23:18 20
9 Queretaro 13 6 2 5 17:18 20
10 Santos Laguna 14 6 1 7 20:20 19
11 Atletico San Luis 14 5 4 5 19:22 19
12 UNAM Pumas 14 4 5 5 20:23 17
13 Pachuca 14 4 4 6 22:19 16
14 Puebla 14 4 4 6 16:21 16
15 Tigres UANL 14 3 6 5 15:19 15
16 Atlante 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
17 Necaxa 14 2 4 8 16:27 10
18 Juarez 14 1 2 11 9:33 5
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)