Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juarez vs Pachuca

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Garcia D.
27'
Murillo J.
42'
Lopez E.

AI Match Summary

Pachuca in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pachuca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Juarez
20%
Draws
80%
Pachuca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Juarez haven't matched Pachuca's recent run of results.
  • Pachuca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Juarez Clean Sheet 10%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez Pachuca
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Pachuca
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Juarez
2:0
Nov 24, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Pachuca
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Pachuca
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Pachuca
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pachuca Compare

Top Goalscorer Rondon S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bautista A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez 10 / 100
Pachuca 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez Pachuca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juarez scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Pachuca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Pachuca registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juarez VS Pachuca
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez

(Home)
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
31 Aug
Toluca
4 : 0
Juarez
22 Aug
Juarez
1 : 2
Club America
16 Aug
Monterrey
6 : 1
Juarez
12 Aug
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
Juarez
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Pachuca

(Away)
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis
1 : 1
Pachuca
18 Aug
Pachuca
2 : 3
Puebla
11 Aug
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Pachuca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 7 5 1 1 17:6 16
2 Club America 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
3 Cruz Azul 8 5 0 3 16:14 15
4 Guadalajara Chivas 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
5 Queretaro 7 4 1 2 10:7 13
6 Club Tijuana 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
7 Puebla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
8 Atlas 8 4 1 3 12:14 13
9 Pachuca 8 3 2 3 13:8 11
10 UNAM Pumas 7 3 2 2 11:9 11
11 Monterrey 7 3 1 3 13:10 10
12 Club Leon 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
13 Necaxa 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
14 Tigres UANL 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
15 Atlante 8 1 4 3 7:12 7
16 Atletico San Luis 7 1 3 3 8:13 6
17 Santos Laguna 7 0 1 6 4:12 1
18 Juarez 7 0 0 7 3:21 0
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)