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Juarez vs Tigres UANL Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Garcia D.
46'
Sub
Rodrigo Dourado In: Guilherme Castilho
Out: Rodrigo Dourado
60'
Sub
Aquino J. In: Mayorga A.
Out: Aquino J.

AI Match Summary

Juarez in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Juarez
30%
Draws
47%
Tigres UANL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tigres UANL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Juarez haven't matched Tigres UANL's recent run of results.
  • Tigres UANL are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Juarez Clean Sheet 11%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez Tigres UANL
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Tigres UANL
2:0
Mar 23, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Tigres UANL
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Juarez
1:0
Feb 26, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Juarez
0:1
Sep 23, 2024 Liga MX
Juarez vs Tigres UANL
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Estupinan O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Tigres UANL Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez 22 / 100
Tigres UANL 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez Tigres UANL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres UANL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juarez scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Tigres UANL has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Juarez remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juarez VS Tigres UANL
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez

(Home)
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1
Juarez
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
31 Aug
Toluca
4 : 0
Juarez
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Tigres UANL

(Away)
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
06 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 1
Necaxa
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)