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Juazeiro vs Grapiuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juazeiro in this Baiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juazeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Juazeiro
30%
Draws
41%
Grapiuna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grapiuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Juazeiro average 1.3 goals a game right now, well clear of Grapiuna's 0.94.
  • Juazeiro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Juazeiro have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Juazeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juazeiro Grapiuna
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.3 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2023 Baiano 2
Juazeiro vs Grapiuna
1:2
Jul 3, 2022 Baiano 2
Juazeiro vs Grapiuna
5:0
Apr 19, 2015 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Juazeiro
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juazeiro 85 / 100
Grapiuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juazeiro Grapiuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juazeiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Juazeiro scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Grapiuna let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Juazeiro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grapiuna
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juazeiro

(Home)
09 Jul
Juazeiro
1 : 2
Grapiuna
02 Jul
Jequie
1 : 0
Juazeiro
27 Jun
Juazeiro
1 : 1
UNIRB
18 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 0
Juazeiro
11 Jun
Juazeiro
4 : 0
Leonico
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Grapiuna

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 11 7 1 3 14:10 22
2 Jacobinense 11 6 2 3 17:9 20
3 Juazeiro 11 5 5 1 18:8 20
4 Itabuna 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
5 Jacobina 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
6 Botafogo BA 11 4 4 3 11:12 16
7 Galicia 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
8 CE Flamengo 11 4 2 5 10:8 14
9 Fluminense de Feira 11 3 4 4 8:12 13
10 Canaa EC 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
11 Feirense 11 2 1 8 7:18 7
12 Grapiuna 11 1 3 7 6:22 6
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)