Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Julho Esporte vs Piaui

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Silva Osorio L. T.
55' Event
Alves F.
60'
Kaio

AI Match Summary

Piaui in this Piauiense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Piaui.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Julho Esporte
20%
Draws
51%
Piaui
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Piaui lately — more wins on the board than Julho Esporte.
  • Piaui are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Piauiense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Julho Esporte Clean Sheet 16%
Piaui Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Julho Esporte Piaui
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Piauiense
Piaui vs Julho Esporte
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs Piaui
3:4
Mar 4, 2020 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs Piaui
2:0
Jan 18, 2020 Piauiense
Piaui vs Julho Esporte
1:1
Feb 24, 2019 Piauiense
Piaui vs Julho Esporte
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Julho Esporte Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Osorio L. T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aluizio d. S. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.84

Piaui Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adilio Gomes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Julho Esporte 28 / 100
Piaui 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Julho Esporte Piaui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piaui Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Julho Esporte scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Piaui has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Julho Esporte has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Julho Esporte VS Piaui
1.6 Goals Scored 1.38
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.75
80% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Julho Esporte

(Home)
26 Sept
River-PI
3 : 1
Julho Esporte
19 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 3
Picos
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
09 Sept
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Julho Esporte
05 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Caicara
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Piaui

(Away)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Altos 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Fluminense-PI 6 2 3 1 7:4 9
3 Atletico-PI 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
4 River-PI 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piaui 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
2 Parnahyba 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Oeirense 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Julho Esporte 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Second stage)