Sport Picks

Junior vs Cerro Porteno Prediction & H2H Stats

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena

Junior

0 - 1

Cerro Porteno

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Vegetti P.

45'

Martin A.

60'

Sub

Paiva G. In: Bacca C.

Out: Paiva G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Junior

20%

Draws

47%

Cerro Porteno

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence

Junior haven't matched Cerro Porteno's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Cerro Porteno arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Junior, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Junior Clean Sheet 68%

Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Junior	Cerro Porteno
Matches Played	28	33
Wins	9	17
Draws	8	7
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.54	1.24
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.85
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Junior vs Cerro Porteno

0:1

Apr 14, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno vs Junior

1:0

Sep 20, 2017 Copa Sudamericana

Junior vs Cerro Porteno

3:1

Sep 13, 2017 Copa Sudamericana

Cerro Porteno vs Junior

0:0

Mar 15, 2000 Copa Libertadores

Junior vs Cerro Porteno

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Junior Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Cerro Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Vegetti P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior 41 / 100

Cerro Porteno 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Junior Cerro Porteno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Junior Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Junior scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Junior went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cerro Porteno let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Junior VS Cerro Porteno

1.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Junior

(Home)

01 Oct

Atl. Nacional

3 : 1

Junior

27 Sept

Junior

2 : 0

Ind. Medellin

20 Sept

Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

1 : 4

Junior

13 Sept

Alianza

1 : 0

Junior

06 Sept

Junior

3 : 3

Jaguares de Cordoba

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Cerro Porteno

(Away)

30 Sept

Cerro Porteno

2 : 1

Rubio Nu

26 Sept

Sportivo Trinidense

2 : 1

Cerro Porteno

19 Sept

Cerro Porteno

1 : 0

Rubio Nu

12 Sept

Guarani

1 : 1

Cerro Porteno

07 Sept

Cerro Porteno

1 : 0

Nacional Asuncion

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