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Stadium Background

Junkeren vs Follo

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 2 Nordlandshallen, Bodo
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Skarn-Johansen F.
24' Event
Chooly S.
37' Event
Halsoy M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 2 game between Junkeren and Follo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Junkeren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Junkeren
15%
Draws
34%
Follo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Junkeren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Junkeren come out ahead of Follo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Junkeren a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Follo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Junkeren Clean Sheet 17%
Follo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Junkeren Follo
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.19 1
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 2 - Group 2
Junkeren vs Follo
4:1
May 3, 2026 Division 2 - Group 2
Follo vs Junkeren
2:0
Aug 18, 2024 Division 2 - Group 2
Follo vs Junkeren
3:2
May 26, 2024 Division 2 - Group 2
Junkeren vs Follo
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Junkeren Compare

Top Goalscorer Chooly S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halsoy M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Follo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junkeren 84 / 100
Follo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Junkeren Follo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Junkeren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Follo conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.

Junkeren found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Away concern: Follo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Junkeren VS Follo
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Junkeren

(Home)
23 Aug
Floya
5 : 3
Junkeren
16 Aug
Kjelsas
2 : 0
Junkeren
08 Aug
Junkeren
4 : 1
Follo
02 Aug
Eidsvold TF
4 : 1
Junkeren
25 Jul
Junkeren
1 : 0
Lorenskog
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Follo

(Away)
22 Aug
Rade
1 : 2
Follo
16 Aug
Follo
1 : 3
Rana FK
08 Aug
Junkeren
4 : 1
Follo
02 Aug
Follo
1 : 2
Trygg/Lade
25 Jul
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
0 : 0
Follo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eidsvold TF 16 12 2 2 41:14 38
2 Kjelsas 16 12 1 3 36:21 37
3 Levanger 16 11 0 5 35:19 33
4 Honefoss 16 10 2 4 44:24 32
5 Grorud 15 8 2 5 24:15 26
6 Lorenskog 16 8 2 6 27:24 26
7 Stjordals Blink 16 7 2 7 29:28 23
8 Tromsdalen (TUIL) 15 7 2 6 24:27 23
9 Rana FK 15 6 2 7 27:28 20
10 Junkeren 16 6 2 8 22:28 20
11 Skeid 16 4 1 11 22:34 13
12 Ull/Kisa 16 3 1 12 21:54 10
13 Follo 15 2 3 10 16:32 9
14 Trygg/Lade 16 2 2 12 19:39 8
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