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Jura Dolois vs Metz

France France

Coupe de France 2009/2010
Sat, Nov 21, 2009
1 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jura Dolois play Metz in the Coupe de France 2009/2010. Metz are favorites here. Recently, Jura Dolois averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Metz averaged 1.21 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Jura Dolois won 0, Metz won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 21, 2009 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Jura Dolois and 0.80 for Metz. This points to a Metz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Jura Dolois
21%
Draws
57%
Metz
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Metz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Jura Dolois picked up more points recently compared to Metz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Jura Dolois Clean Sheet 26%
Metz Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jura Dolois Metz
Matches Played 5 29
Wins 0 4
Draws 0 7
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 0.4 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2009 Coupe de France
Jura Dolois vs Metz
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jura Dolois 25 / 100
Metz 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jura Dolois Metz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Metz & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jura Dolois attacking → ← attacking Metz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jura Dolois scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Metz let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Jura Dolois went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Metz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 19
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88