Sport Picks
Match Events
58'
58'
Chaparro T.
67'
67'
Cruz Vera Borda J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera C game between Justo Jose de Urquiza and Mercedes finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mercedes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mercedes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Justo Jose de Urquiza haven't matched Mercedes's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Mercedes taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
Justo Jose de Urquiza Clean Sheet 18%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Justo Jose de Urquiza | Mercedes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 14 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 Primera C
Mercedes vs Justo Jose de Urquiza
5:0
Feb 21, 2026 Primera C
Justo Jose de Urquiza vs Mercedes
0:2
Jul 5, 2025 Primera C
Justo Jose de Urquiza vs Mercedes
0:1
Mar 26, 2025 Primera C
Mercedes vs Justo Jose de Urquiza
0:1
Aug 13, 2024 Primera C
Justo Jose de Urquiza vs Mercedes
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Justo Jose de Urquiza Compare
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Mercedes Compare
Top Goalscorer Chaparro T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cruz Vera Borda J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Justo Jose de Urquiza 10 / 100
Mercedes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Justo Jose de Urquiza Mercedes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Justo Jose de Urquiza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Justo Jose de Urquiza scored in 31% of their last 29 outings.
Mercedes let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Justo Jose de Urquiza VS Mercedes
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Justo Jose de Urquiza
(Home) 25 Jul
Victoriano Arenas
0 : 0 Justo Jose de Urquiza
18 Jul
Justo Jose de Urquiza
3 : 0 Deportivo Muniz
12 Jul
Justo Jose de Urquiza
0 : 0 CSR Espanol
04 Jul
CA Lugano
0 : 0 Justo Jose de Urquiza
27 Jun
Mercedes
5 : 0 Justo Jose de Urquiza
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18 Jul
Justo Jose de Urquiza
3 : 0 Deportivo Muniz
12 Jul
Justo Jose de Urquiza
0 : 0 CSR Espanol
06 Jun
Justo Jose de Urquiza
0 : 1 Puerto Nuevo
23 May
Justo Jose de Urquiza
0 : 1 Defensores de Cambaceres
04 May
Justo Jose de Urquiza
0 : 0 Sacachispas
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Mercedes
(Away) 25 Jul
Berazategui
0 : 1 Mercedes
18 Jul
Mercedes
2 : 0 El Porvenir
12 Jul
Mercedes
1 : 1 Victoriano Arenas
06 Jul
CSR Espanol
0 : 3 Mercedes
27 Jun
Mercedes
5 : 0 Justo Jose de Urquiza
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Berazategui
0 : 1 Mercedes
06 Jul
CSR Espanol
0 : 3 Mercedes
14 Jun
CA Lugano
1 : 0 Mercedes
30 May
Puerto Nuevo
1 : 1 Mercedes
18 May
Deportivo Espanol
1 : 0 Mercedes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 24:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Mercedes | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 22:11 | 32 |
| 3 | Berazategui | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 23:15 | 32 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 25:19 | 32 |
| 5 | Estrella Del Sur | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22:17 | 31 |
| 6 | CSR Espanol | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26:18 | 30 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 18:19 | 30 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 17:13 | 28 |
| 9 | Leandro N. Alem | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24:33 | 26 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 16:24 | 22 |
| 12 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 9:18 | 20 |
| 13 | Argentino de Rosario | 21 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 19:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10:26 | 16 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Lujan | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 25:15 | 36 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 23:13 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 18:14 | 31 |
| 4 | Leones de Rosario | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:19 | 29 |
| 5 | General Lamadrid | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | 29 |
| 6 | Yupanqui | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 28 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 20 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 15:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Atlas | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 16:18 | 25 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba (Rosario) | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14:15 | 23 |
| 11 | CSD Central Ballester | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 19:24 | 22 |
| 12 | Claypole | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 15:23 | 22 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 15:20 | 21 |
| 14 | Fenix | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13:21 | 20 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
