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Stadium Background

Juticalpa vs CD Choloma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juticalpa host CD Choloma in the Liga Nacional. This one's hard to separate. CD Choloma have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Juticalpa have conceded 2.31 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Juticalpa have won 2 to CD Choloma's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.38) back CD Choloma to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Juticalpa
15%
Draws
46%
CD Choloma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Choloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Choloma lately — more wins on the board than Juticalpa.
  • CD Choloma are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Juticalpa Clean Sheet 17%
CD Choloma Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juticalpa CD Choloma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Juticalpa
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs CD Choloma
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Juticalpa
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs CD Choloma
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juticalpa 20 / 100
CD Choloma 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juticalpa CD Choloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Choloma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juticalpa scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: CD Choloma conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Juticalpa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juticalpa VS CD Choloma
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juticalpa

(Home)
21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2
Marathon
14 Sept
Atletico Independiente
2 : 1
Juticalpa
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Aug
Estrella
5 : 2
Juticalpa
Page 1 of 6

CD Choloma

(Away)
19 Sept
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Estrella
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
05 Sept
CD Choloma
0 : 0
Olancho
30 Aug
Real Espana
2 : 1
CD Choloma
23 Aug
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Platense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
2 Olimpia 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Marathon 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
4 Motagua 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
5 Genesis FC 8 3 2 3 10:6 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
11 Juticalpa 8 2 0 6 8:19 6
12 Platense 8 1 2 5 6:18 5
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)