Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juticalpa vs Genesis FC

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Figueroa J.
51' Event
Maldonado E.
53' Event
Figueroa J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Juticalpa and Genesis FC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genesis FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Juticalpa
20%
Draws
36%
Genesis FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juticalpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Genesis FC come out ahead of Juticalpa on wins alone.
  • Genesis FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Juticalpa Clean Sheet 10%
Genesis FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juticalpa Genesis FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Genesis FC
0:3
Apr 2, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Juticalpa
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Genesis FC
1:1
Dec 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Juticalpa
2:2
Sep 25, 2025 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Genesis FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juticalpa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Genesis FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Maldonado E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Figueroa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juticalpa 10 / 100
Genesis FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juticalpa Genesis FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genesis FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juticalpa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Genesis FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Juticalpa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Juticalpa VS Genesis FC
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juticalpa

(Home)
21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2
Marathon
14 Sept
Atletico Independiente
2 : 1
Juticalpa
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Aug
Estrella
5 : 2
Juticalpa
Page 1 of 6

Genesis FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Genesis FC
0 : 0
Olancho
13 Sept
Motagua
1 : 0
Genesis FC
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Genesis FC
1 : 2
Marathon
22 Aug
Atletico Independiente
1 : 1
Genesis FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
2 Olimpia 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Marathon 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
4 Motagua 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
5 Genesis FC 8 3 2 3 10:6 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
11 Juticalpa 8 2 0 6 8:19 6
12 Platense 8 1 2 5 6:18 5
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)