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Juv. Evora vs Alverca B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Morais F.
72' Event
Brandao V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Juv. Evora
15%
Draws
41%
Alverca B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juv. Evora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Alverca B average 1.76 goals a game right now, well clear of Juv. Evora's 1.43.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 19%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juv. Evora Alverca B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Alverca B
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Alverca B vs Juv. Evora
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juv. Evora Compare

Top Goalscorer Brandao V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Alverca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Morais F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juv. Evora 32 / 100
Alverca B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juv. Evora Alverca B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juv. Evora scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Juv. Evora remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Alverca B let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Juv. Evora VS Alverca B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juv. Evora

(Home)
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2
GD Alcochetense
18 Apr
Juv. Evora
4 : 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1
Juv. Evora
04 Apr
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Industria
22 Mar
Serpa
0 : 3
Juv. Evora
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Alverca B

(Away)
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Serpa
0 : 1
Alverca B
04 Apr
Alverca B
0 : 1
GD Alcochetense
29 Mar
Alverca B
4 : 0
Portimonense B
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2
Alverca B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)