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Juv. Evora vs Oriental Dragon

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Juv. Evora Logo

Juv. Evora

3 - 1
FT
Oriental Dragon Logo

Oriental Dragon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Juv. Evora in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juv. Evora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Juv. Evora
35%
Draws
38%
Oriental Dragon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oriental Dragon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juv. Evora lately — more wins on the board than Oriental Dragon.
  • Win probability leans Juv. Evora's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 68%
Oriental Dragon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juv. Evora Oriental Dragon
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Oriental Dragon
3:1
Sep 25, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental Dragon vs Juv. Evora
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juv. Evora 59 / 100
Oriental Dragon 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juv. Evora Oriental Dragon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juv. Evora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juv. Evora scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Oriental Dragon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Juv. Evora stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juv. Evora VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juv. Evora

(Home)
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Portel
30 Aug
Uniao Montemor
1 : 4
Juv. Evora
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2
GD Alcochetense
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Oriental Dragon

(Away)
19 Apr
Imortal
2 : 2
Oriental Dragon
08 Apr
Oriental Dragon
2 : 1
SC Praiense
02 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 3
Oriental Dragon
19 Mar
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Oriental Dragon
12 Mar
Oriental Dragon
1 : 0
Olhanense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)