Sport Picks
Juve Stabia vs Spezia
Italy
Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia 
Match Events
32'
32'
Aurelio G.
Assist: Romano A.
37'
37'
Beruatto P.
45'
45'
Leone G.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Juve Stabia in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juve Stabia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spezia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Spezia lately — more wins on the board than Juve Stabia.
- Spezia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 10%
Spezia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Spezia
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie B
Spezia vs Juve Stabia
1:3
Jan 12, 2025 Serie B
Spezia vs Juve Stabia
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Spezia
0:3
Mar 8, 2020 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Spezia
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Juve Stabia Compare
Top Goalscorer Pierobon C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Okoro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Spezia Compare
Top Goalscorer Aurelio G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Juve Stabia 10 / 100
Spezia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Juve Stabia Spezia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spezia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Juve Stabia scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Spezia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Juve Stabia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Juve Stabia VS Spezia
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Juve Stabia
(Home) 18 Sept
Juve Stabia
1 : 1 Cesena
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1 Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Juve Stabia
0 : 3 Pisa
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2 Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Palermo
1 : 0 Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Juve Stabia
1 : 1 Cesena
06 Sept
Juve Stabia
0 : 3 Pisa
09 Aug
Juve Stabia
0 : 2 Campobasso
31 Jul
Juve Stabia
5 : 1 Ischia
16 May
Juve Stabia
2 : 2 Monza
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Spezia
(Away) 27 Sept
Pescara
1 : 2 Spezia
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0 Livorno
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Pescara
1 : 2 Spezia
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
23 Aug
Grosseto
1 : 1 Spezia
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1 Spezia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 81 |
| 3 | Monza | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Avellino | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | 49 |
| 9 | Mantova | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | 46 |
| 10 | Padova | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 46 |
| 11 | Cesena | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | 46 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | 44 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | 44 |
| 14 | Entella | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | 41 |
| 16 | Sudtirol | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | 41 |
| 17 | Bari | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | 40 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | 37 |
| 19 | Spezia | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | 35 |
| 20 | Pescara | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | 35 |
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
