Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juvenes/Dogana vs AC Libertas

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese San Marino Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Borghini G.
Assist: Pedini F.
64'
Senja E.
65' Event
Fabbri P.

AI Match Summary

Juvenes/Dogana host AC Libertas in the Campionato Sammarinese. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Juvenes/Dogana at 0.63 goals for, 1.25 against; AC Libertas at 0.88 for, 2.5 against. Head-to-head, Juvenes/Dogana have won 1 to AC Libertas's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.06) point toward Juvenes/Dogana. Juvenes/Dogana in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Juvenes/Dogana
6%
Draws
4%
AC Libertas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Juvenes/Dogana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • AC Libertas demonstrates higher offensive output (0.88 avg goals) than Juvenes/Dogana (0.63 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Juvenes/Dogana.
  • Cup tournament structure in Campionato Sammarinese increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 20%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juvenes/Dogana AC Libertas
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs AC Libertas
1:1
Apr 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs AC Libertas
0:1
Jan 21, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Juvenes/Dogana
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs AC Libertas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juvenes/Dogana Compare

Top Goalscorer Borghini G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

AC Libertas Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabbri P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juvenes/Dogana 85 / 100
AC Libertas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juvenes/Dogana AC Libertas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juvenes/Dogana scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

AC Libertas let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Juvenes/Dogana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AC Libertas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juvenes/Dogana VS AC Libertas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus-
TBD-
Juvenes/Dogana1
AC Libertas1
Folgore-
TBD-
TBD-
SP Domagnano-
Tre Penne-
TBD-
SP Cosmos3
SS Pennarossa0
La Fiorita-
TBD-
TBD-
Fiorentino-
Quarter-finals
Virtus2
Juvenes/Dogana0
Folgore2
SP Domagnano3
Tre Penne0
SP Cosmos0
La Fiorita3
Fiorentino3
Semi-finals
Virtus3
SP Domagnano3
Tre Penne1
La Fiorita2
Final
Virtus2
La Fiorita1
SP Domagnano1
Tre Penne3