Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juvenes/Dogana vs Folgore

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Garcia Rufer A.
Assist: De Nicolo G.
23' Event
Dormi L.
Assist: Borghini G.
47' Event
Fabbri D.
Assist: Garcia Rufer A.

AI Match Summary

Folgore in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Juvenes/Dogana
15%
Draws
71%
Folgore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Folgore have won more games recently than Juvenes/Dogana.
  • Win probability leans Folgore's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 11%
Folgore Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juvenes/Dogana Folgore
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 18
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.13 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Folgore
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Folgore
2:2
Dec 14, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Folgore
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juvenes/Dogana Compare

Top Goalscorer Dormi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Folgore Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Rufer A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabbri D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juvenes/Dogana 14 / 100
Folgore 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juvenes/Dogana Folgore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juvenes/Dogana scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Folgore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Juvenes/Dogana stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juvenes/Dogana VS Folgore
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Juvenes/Dogana

(Home)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
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Folgore

(Away)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)