Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juvenes/Dogana vs Folgore

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese San Marino Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pedini F.
Assist: Amadori N.
24' Event
Amadori N.
Assist: Ghiggini A.
54' Event
Garcia Rufer A.

AI Match Summary

Juvenes/Dogana play Folgore in the Campionato Sammarinese. It looks like a close match. Recently, Juvenes/Dogana averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Folgore averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Juvenes/Dogana won 0, Folgore won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Juvenes/Dogana and 1.50 for Folgore. This points to a Folgore double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Juvenes/Dogana
33%
Draws
40%
Folgore
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Folgore has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Juvenes/Dogana.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Folgore.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campionato Sammarinese provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 16%
Folgore Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juvenes/Dogana Folgore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Folgore
2:2
Dec 14, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Folgore
0:1
Mar 13, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juvenes/Dogana Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedini F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amadori N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Folgore Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Rufer A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bernardi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juvenes/Dogana 28 / 100
Folgore 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juvenes/Dogana Folgore

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juvenes/Dogana scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Folgore let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Juvenes/Dogana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Folgore lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juvenes/Dogana VS Folgore
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2