Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juvenes/Dogana vs San Giovanni

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese San Marino Stadium, Serravalle
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Tiraferri L.
Assist: Palumbo A.
81' Event
Aprea M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Juvenes/Dogana
6%
Draws
4%
San Giovanni
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Juvenes/Dogana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • San Giovanni average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Juvenes/Dogana's 0.5.
  • Juvenes/Dogana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 68%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juvenes/Dogana San Giovanni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs San Giovanni
1:1
Aug 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Juvenes/Dogana
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs San Giovanni
2:3
Oct 4, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Juvenes/Dogana
3:0
Apr 21, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs San Giovanni
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juvenes/Dogana Compare

Top Goalscorer Aprea M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

San Giovanni Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiraferri L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juvenes/Dogana 95 / 100
San Giovanni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juvenes/Dogana San Giovanni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Giovanni let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Juvenes/Dogana scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Juvenes/Dogana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juvenes/Dogana VS San Giovanni
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juvenes/Dogana

(Home)
06 May
Juvenes/Dogana
0 : 2
Virtus
03 May
Virtus
0 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
29 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 1
AC Libertas
26 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
5 : 2
SS Murata
18 Apr
SS Pennarossa
0 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
Page 1 of 6

San Giovanni

(Away)
26 Apr
Tre Penne
4 : 0
San Giovanni
18 Apr
San Giovanni
0 : 2
SP Domagnano
11 Apr
San Giovanni
1 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
07 Apr
La Fiorita
3 : 0
San Giovanni
21 Mar
San Giovanni
2 : 0
SC Faetano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)