Sport Picks
Juvenes/Dogana vs SS Murata
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 San Marino Stadium, Serravalle 
Match Events
21'
21'
Aprea M.
Assist: Sartini N.
38'
38'
Mazzavillani F.
Assist: Comuniello A.
49'
49'
Aprea M.
AI Match Summary
Juvenes/Dogana in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juvenes/Dogana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juvenes/Dogana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Juvenes/Dogana have won more games recently than SS Murata.
- Win probability leans Juvenes/Dogana's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 68%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Juvenes/Dogana | SS Murata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 9 | 1 |
| Losses | 14 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 2.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs SS Murata
5:2
Feb 10, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:5
Feb 2, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs SS Murata
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs SS Murata
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Juvenes/Dogana Compare
Top Goalscorer Aprea M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Mazzavillani F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
SS Murata Compare
Top Goalscorer Labas J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gjyla I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Juvenes/Dogana 95 / 100
SS Murata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Juvenes/Dogana SS Murata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Juvenes/Dogana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SS Murata let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Juvenes/Dogana found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Away concern: SS Murata has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Juvenes/Dogana VS SS Murata
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Juvenes/Dogana
(Home) 20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2 Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0 SC Faetano
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2 Folgore
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0 SC Faetano
06 May
Juvenes/Dogana
0 : 2 Virtus
29 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 1 AC Libertas
26 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
5 : 2 SS Murata
Page 1 of 3
SS Murata
(Away) 18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0 SS Murata
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0 SS Murata
26 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
5 : 2 SS Murata
12 Apr
Virtus
4 : 1 SS Murata
21 Mar
SS Pennarossa
2 : 0 SS Murata
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
