Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juvenes/Dogana vs Tre Penne

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano 2025/2026 San Marino Stadium, Serravalle
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Sartini N.
Assist: Lisi K.

AI Match Summary

Juvenes/Dogana in this Coppa Titano 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Juvenes/Dogana
15%
Draws
71%
Tre Penne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tre Penne lately — more wins on the board than Juvenes/Dogana.
  • Model gives Tre Penne a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Tre Penne arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Juvenes/Dogana, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 14%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juvenes/Dogana Tre Penne
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 22
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.1 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:0
Sep 8, 2026 Coppa Titano
Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana
3:1
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Titano
Juvenes/Dogana vs Tre Penne
1:0
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Titano
Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juvenes/Dogana Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartini N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tre Penne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juvenes/Dogana 10 / 100
Tre Penne 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juvenes/Dogana Tre Penne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juvenes/Dogana's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Tre Penne has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Juvenes/Dogana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juvenes/Dogana VS Tre Penne
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Juvenes/Dogana

(Home)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
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Tre Penne

(Away)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Cailungo 2
AC Libertas 3
San Giovanni 3
SP Cosmos 4
Tre Fiori 4
SS Pennarossa 1
Tre Penne 5
SP Domagnano 2
Fiorentino 2
Juvenes/Dogana 5
SS Murata 3
SC Faetano 1
Folgore 0
La Fiorita 1
Quarter-finals
Virtus 6
AC Libertas 1
SP Cosmos 1
Tre Fiori 7
Tre Penne 1
Juvenes/Dogana 2
SS Murata 2
La Fiorita 4
Semi-finals
Virtus 0
Tre Fiori 1
Juvenes/Dogana 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Tre Fiori 1
La Fiorita 3