Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 San Marino Stadium, Serravalle
Juvenes/Dogana Logo

Juvenes/Dogana

0 - 2
FT
Virtus Logo

Virtus

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Benincasa S.
Assist: Rinaldi M.
90' Event
Buonocunto I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Virtus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Juvenes/Dogana
15%
Draws
69%
Virtus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Virtus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Virtus taking it.
  • Virtus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Virtus, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Virtus have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 10%
Virtus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juvenes/Dogana Virtus
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 8 25
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.13 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus
0:2
May 3, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Juvenes/Dogana
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juvenes/Dogana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Benincasa S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buonocunto I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juvenes/Dogana 10 / 100
Virtus 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juvenes/Dogana Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juvenes/Dogana found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Virtus let in goals in 49% of their last 37 matches.

Solid form: Juvenes/Dogana remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juvenes/Dogana VS Virtus
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Juvenes/Dogana

(Home)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
Page 1 of 7

Virtus

(Away)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Juvenes/Dogana 1
AC Libertas 1
Folgore -
TBD -
TBD -
SP Domagnano -
Tre Penne -
TBD -
SP Cosmos 3
SS Pennarossa 0
La Fiorita -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentino -
Quarter-finals
Virtus 2
Juvenes/Dogana 0
Folgore 2
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 0
SP Cosmos 0
La Fiorita 3
Fiorentino 3
Semi-finals
Virtus 3
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Virtus 2
La Fiorita 1
SP Domagnano 1
Tre Penne 3