Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Centenario

Academia Puerto Cabello

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Juventud play Academia Puerto Cabello in the Copa Sudamericana. It looks like a close match. Recently, Juventud averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Academia Puerto Cabello averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Juventud won 1, Academia Puerto Cabello won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Juventud and 1.44 for Academia Puerto Cabello. This points to a Academia Puerto Cabello double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Juventud

30%

Draws

37%

Academia Puerto Cabello

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Academia Puerto Cabello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Juventud picked up more points recently compared to Academia Puerto Cabello.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Juventud Clean Sheet 16%

Academia Puerto Cabello Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Juventud	Academia Puerto Cabello
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	7	13
Draws	10	7
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.32	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Juventud

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Juventud vs Academia Puerto Cabello

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Mimbacas F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Roldan L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Academia Puerto Cabello Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 33 / 100

Academia Puerto Cabello 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Juventud Academia Puerto Cabello

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Academia Puerto Cabello or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Juventud attacking → ← attacking Academia Puerto Cabello

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Academia Puerto Cabello let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Juventud went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Academia Puerto Cabello lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 46

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Macara	6	2	4	0	6:3	10
2	Tigre	6	2	3	1	8:5	9
3	America De Cali	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
4	Alianza Atl.	6	0	2	4	2:9	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico-MG	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
2	Cienciano	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
3	Juventud	6	1	4	1	10:7	7
4	Academia Puerto Cabello	6	2	1	3	6:9	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo	6	3	3	0	6:1	12
2	O Higgins	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
3	Millonarios	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
4	Boston River	6	1	0	5	5:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Recoleta	6	1	5	0	6:5	8
2	Santos	6	1	4	1	8:6	7
3	San Lorenzo	6	1	4	1	6:5	7
4	Dep. Cuenca	6	1	3	2	3:7	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo RJ	6	5	1	0	15:5	16
2	Caracas	6	2	3	1	9:9	9
3	Racing Club	6	2	2	2	11:9	8
4	Independiente	6	0	0	6	3:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Montevideo City	6	4	1	1	11:5	13
2	Gremio	6	3	2	1	8:3	11
3	Deportivo Riestra	6	1	2	3	4:10	5
4	Palestino	6	0	3	3	1:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	6	4	1	1	10:6	13
2	Vasco	6	3	1	2	10:6	10
3	A. Italiano	6	2	1	3	7:9	7
4	Barracas Central	6	0	3	3	2:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	River Plate	6	4	2	0	9:3	14
2	Bragantino	6	3	1	2	12:5	10
3	Carabobo	6	3	0	3	6:5	9
4	Blooming	6	0	1	5	3:17	1