Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Centenario, Montevideo

Juventud

2 - 2

Atletico-MG

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Minda A.

46'

Sub

Bernard In: Gustavo Scarpa

Out: Bernard

46'

Sub

Maycon In: Perez T.

Out: Maycon

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Juventud

35%

Draws

34%

Atletico-MG

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Atletico-MG lately — more wins on the board than Juventud.
34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Atletico-MG arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Juventud Clean Sheet 23%

Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Juventud	Atletico-MG
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	8	13
Draws	10	8
Losses	11	6
Goals Scored	1.24	1.41
Goals Conceded	1.34	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Juventud vs Atletico-MG

2:2

Apr 16, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Atletico-MG vs Juventud

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Lago P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Perez M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.6

Atletico-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Minda A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vitor Hugo

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 37 / 100

Atletico-MG 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Juventud Atletico-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Atletico-MG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Juventud remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Atletico-MG

0.63 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5

38% Over 1.5 50%

13% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)

22 Aug

Central Esp.

0 : 1

Juventud

15 Aug

Juventud

0 : 1

Montevideo City

07 Aug

Cerro Largo

1 : 1

Juventud

01 Aug

Maldonado

0 : 0

Juventud

17 Jul

Albion

0 : 1

Juventud

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Atletico-MG

(Away)

22 Aug

Internacional

0 : 0

Atletico-MG

19 Aug

Atletico-MG

2 : 2

Bragantino

16 Aug

Atletico-MG

3 : 0

Gremio

12 Aug

Bragantino

0 : 1

Atletico-MG

08 Aug

Remo

2 : 2

Atletico-MG

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