Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juventud vs CA Cerro Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Juventud Logo

Juventud

0 - 0
FT
CA Cerro Logo

CA Cerro

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Aleman B.
50'
Barros C.
56'
Barrandeguy F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Juventud
35%
Draws
20%
CA Cerro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Cerro haven't matched Juventud's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Juventud's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
CA Cerro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud CA Cerro
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.27 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs CA Cerro
0:0
Mar 25, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Juventud
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs CA Cerro
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Juventud
2:1
Aug 25, 2022 Segunda Division
Juventud vs CA Cerro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 95 / 100
CA Cerro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud CA Cerro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juventud scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Juventud went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: CA Cerro conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: CA Cerro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS CA Cerro
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0
CA Cerro
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1
Danubio
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
Page 1 of 7

CA Cerro

(Away)
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0
CA Cerro
23 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2
Maldonado
19 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2
Penarol
13 Sept
Progreso
1 : 3
CA Cerro
10 Sept
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Cerrito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 7 6 0 1 18:7 18
2 Liverpool M. 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
3 Penarol 7 5 1 1 13:5 15
4 Maldonado 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
5 Club Nacional 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 CA Cerro 8 4 2 2 9:9 14
7 Juventud 8 3 4 1 10:6 13
8 Racing Montevideo 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
9 Wanderers 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
10 Progreso 8 4 0 4 7:9 12
11 Boston River 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
12 Defensor Sp. 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
13 Cerro Largo 8 0 5 3 5:10 5
14 Central Esp. 8 1 2 5 5:13 5
15 Danubio 8 0 4 4 2:9 4
16 Albion 8 0 0 8 6:16 0
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)