Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juventud vs Danubio

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Fernandez S.
Assist: Sosa L.
30' Event
Fernandez S.
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Rabino R. In: Rolon K.
Out: Rabino R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Juventud
20%
Draws
23%
Danubio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juventud lately — more wins on the board than Danubio.
  • Model gives Juventud a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
Danubio Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Danubio
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 10 12
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.12 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Danubio
1:1
Jul 5, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Juventud
1:1
Mar 16, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Juventud
4:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Juventud
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Danubio
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Mimbacas F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Danubio Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 86 / 100
Danubio 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Danubio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Juventud found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Danubio has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Juventud stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Danubio
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0
Juventud
29 Aug
Juventud
2 : 0
Maldonado
26 Aug
Juventud
1 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1
Juventud
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Danubio

(Away)
05 Sept
Danubio
0 : 4
Penarol
01 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 0
Danubio
29 Aug
Progreso
1 : 0
Danubio
26 Aug
Danubio
3 : 2
Atenas
23 Aug
Danubio
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Montevideo City 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
3 Racing Montevideo 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
4 CA Cerro 5 3 1 1 5:6 10
5 Juventud 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Maldonado 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
7 Boston River 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
8 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
9 Wanderers 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
10 Penarol 4 2 1 1 6:2 6
11 Progreso 5 2 0 3 2:4 6
12 Cerro Largo 6 0 5 1 5:6 5
13 Central Esp. 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
14 Danubio 5 0 2 3 0:6 2
15 Defensor Sp. 5 0 2 3 3:10 2
16 Albion 5 0 0 5 3:8 0
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)