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Juventud vs Danubio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Fernandez S.
30' Event
Fernandez S.
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Rabino R. In: Rolon K.
Out: Rabino R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Juventud
15%
Draws
48%
Danubio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Danubio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juventud lately — more wins on the board than Danubio.
  • Model gives Danubio a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Juventud Clean Sheet 24%
Danubio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Danubio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.16 1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Danubio
1:1
Jul 5, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Juventud
1:1
Mar 16, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Juventud
4:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Juventud
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Danubio
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Mimbacas F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Danubio Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 25 / 100
Danubio 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Danubio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Danubio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Juventud found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Danubio has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Juventud stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Danubio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
01 Nov
Liverpool M.
2 : 0
Juventud
28 Oct
Nacional Florida
0 : 2
Juventud
23 Oct
Juventud
0 : 0
Penarol
17 Oct
Progreso
2 : 0
Juventud
11 Oct
Juventud
2 : 0
Racing Montevideo
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Danubio

(Away)
01 Nov
Danubio
1 : 2
Club Nacional
29 Oct
Wanderers Durazno
0 : 3
Danubio
24 Oct
Maldonado
2 : 1
Danubio
18 Oct
Danubio
1 : 0
Central Esp.
15 Oct
Central Esp.
0 : 6
Danubio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 13 9 3 1 22:8 30
2 Montevideo City 13 9 1 3 26:14 28
3 Club Nacional 13 8 2 3 19:13 26
4 Maldonado 13 6 4 3 18:10 22
5 Penarol 13 6 5 2 17:9 22
6 Racing Montevideo 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
7 Progreso 13 6 1 6 13:15 19
8 Juventud 13 4 6 3 12:10 18
9 CA Cerro 13 5 3 5 15:19 18
10 Wanderers 13 4 4 5 14:19 16
11 Boston River 13 4 3 6 15:17 15
12 Albion 13 4 1 8 15:20 13
13 Defensor Sp. 13 3 3 7 16:23 12
14 Danubio 13 2 4 7 7:15 10
15 Cerro Largo 13 1 6 6 10:17 9
16 Central Esp. 13 2 2 9 8:22 8
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)