Sport Picks
Juventud vs Liverpool M.
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras 
Match Events
12'
12'
Roldan L.
21'
21'
Martinez F.
40'
40'
Garayalde N.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juventud
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Juventud at 1.38 per game, Liverpool M. at 1.21.
- Win probability leans Juventud's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Juventud | Liverpool M. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Liverpool M.
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Juventud
0:1
May 4, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Liverpool M.
1:0
Oct 20, 2019 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Liverpool M.
0:0
Mar 30, 2019 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Juventud
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Juventud Compare
Top Goalscorer Peralta R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Liverpool M. Compare
Top Goalscorer Romero D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Juventud 86 / 100
Liverpool M. 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Juventud Liverpool M.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Juventud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Juventud's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Solid form: Juventud remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Liverpool M. let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Juventud VS Liverpool M.
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Juventud
(Home) 20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3 Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0 Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1 Danubio
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2 Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0 Juventud
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0 Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1 Danubio
29 Aug
Juventud
2 : 0 Maldonado
26 Aug
Juventud
1 : 0 Club Oriental De Futbol
15 Aug
Juventud
0 : 1 Montevideo City
Page 1 of 3
Liverpool M.
(Away) 20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Boston River
02 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 1 Boston River
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Liverpool M.
27 Aug
Fenix
0 : 2 Liverpool M.
16 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 4 Liverpool M.
02 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 0 Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool M. | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
