Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juventud vs Liverpool M.

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Roldan L.
21'
Martinez F.
40'
Garayalde N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Juventud
33%
Draws
40%
Liverpool M.
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Liverpool M.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Liverpool M. haven't matched Juventud's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Liverpool M.'s way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Juventud Clean Sheet 20%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Liverpool M.
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Liverpool M.
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Juventud
0:1
May 4, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Liverpool M.
1:0
Oct 20, 2019 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Liverpool M.
0:0
Mar 30, 2019 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Juventud
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Liverpool M. Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 28 / 100
Liverpool M. 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Liverpool M.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Liverpool M. conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Juventud has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Liverpool M.
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
11 Jul
Juventud
1 : 3
Montevideo City
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1
Juventud
06 Jun
Club Nacional
2 : 1
Juventud
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
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Liverpool M.

(Away)
12 Jul
Liverpool M.
1 : 2
CA Cerro
08 Jun
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Cerro Largo
01 Jun
Boston River
0 : 1
Liverpool M.
22 May
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
16 May
Penarol
2 : 1
Liverpool M.
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Montevideo1594223:1431
2Maldonado1592424:1629
3Albion1584326:1628
4Penarol1583423:1627
5Central Esp.1573523:2224
6Montevideo City1565422:1623
7Club Nacional1571726:2122
8Defensor Sp.1556413:1121
9Liverpool M.1555520:1820
10Wanderers1562716:2120
11Danubio1546517:2118
12Cerro Largo1552816:1917
13Boston River1552814:2017
14Juventud1543817:2215
15Progreso1524912:2310
16CA Cerro152498:2410
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)