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Juventud vs Maldonado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Cartagena S.
23' Event
Peralta R.
33'
Larrazabal G.

AI Match Summary

Juventud in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Juventud
20%
Draws
47%
Maldonado
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Maldonado have won more games recently than Juventud.
  • Model gives Maldonado a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Juventud Clean Sheet 18%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Maldonado
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.16 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Maldonado
2:0
Aug 1, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Juventud
0:0
Mar 2, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Juventud
2:1
Jul 28, 2018 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Juventud
0:1
Mar 3, 2018 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Maldonado
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Maldonado Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 23 / 100
Maldonado 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Maldonado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maldonado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Maldonado let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Juventud went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Maldonado
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
01 Nov
Liverpool M.
2 : 0
Juventud
28 Oct
Nacional Florida
0 : 2
Juventud
23 Oct
Juventud
0 : 0
Penarol
17 Oct
Progreso
2 : 0
Juventud
11 Oct
Juventud
2 : 0
Racing Montevideo
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Maldonado

(Away)
02 Nov
Albion
0 : 0
Maldonado
28 Oct
Porongos
0 : 4
Maldonado
24 Oct
Maldonado
2 : 1
Danubio
19 Oct
Club Nacional
3 : 2
Maldonado
15 Oct
Maldonado
4 : 1
Albion
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 13 9 3 1 22:8 30
2 Montevideo City 13 9 1 3 26:14 28
3 Club Nacional 13 8 2 3 19:13 26
4 Maldonado 13 6 4 3 18:10 22
5 Penarol 13 6 5 2 17:9 22
6 Racing Montevideo 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
7 Progreso 13 6 1 6 13:15 19
8 Juventud 13 4 6 3 12:10 18
9 CA Cerro 13 5 3 5 15:19 18
10 Wanderers 13 4 4 5 14:19 16
11 Boston River 13 4 3 6 15:17 15
12 Albion 13 4 1 8 15:20 13
13 Defensor Sp. 13 3 3 7 16:23 12
14 Danubio 13 2 4 7 7:15 10
15 Cerro Largo 13 1 6 6 10:17 9
16 Central Esp. 13 2 2 9 8:22 8
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)