Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juventud vs Montevideo City

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Montes G.
15'
Gutierrez B.
28'
Chagas R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Juventud and Montevideo City finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montevideo City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Juventud
15%
Draws
40%
Montevideo City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Montevideo City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Juventud Clean Sheet 16%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Montevideo City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 17
Draws 10 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Montevideo City
0:1
Jul 11, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Montevideo City
1:3
Feb 17, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Juventud
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Montevideo City
0:1
May 24, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Montevideo City
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Montevideo City Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 36 / 100
Montevideo City 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Montevideo City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montevideo City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Montevideo City conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Juventud stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Montevideo City
0.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0
Juventud
29 Aug
Juventud
2 : 0
Maldonado
26 Aug
Juventud
1 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1
Juventud
Page 1 of 6

Montevideo City

(Away)
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1
Cerro Largo
01 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 0
Danubio
29 Aug
Defensor Sp.
1 : 3
Montevideo City
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 0
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Montevideo City 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
3 Racing Montevideo 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
4 CA Cerro 5 3 1 1 5:6 10
5 Juventud 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Maldonado 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
7 Boston River 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
8 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
9 Wanderers 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
10 Penarol 4 2 1 1 6:2 6
11 Progreso 5 2 0 3 2:4 6
12 Cerro Largo 6 0 5 1 5:6 5
13 Central Esp. 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
14 Danubio 5 0 2 3 0:6 2
15 Defensor Sp. 5 0 2 3 3:10 2
16 Albion 5 0 0 5 3:8 0
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)