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Juventud vs Montevideo City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Montes G.
15'
Gutierrez B.
28'
Chagas R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Juventud and Montevideo City finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montevideo City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Juventud
15%
Draws
58%
Montevideo City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montevideo City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Montevideo City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Montevideo City a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Juventud Clean Sheet 27%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Montevideo City
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 13 21
Draws 11 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.16 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Montevideo City
0:1
Jul 11, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Montevideo City
1:3
Feb 17, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Juventud
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Montevideo City
0:1
May 24, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Montevideo City
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Montevideo City Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 10 / 100
Montevideo City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Montevideo City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montevideo City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Montevideo City conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Juventud stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Montevideo City
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
01 Nov
Liverpool M.
2 : 0
Juventud
28 Oct
Nacional Florida
0 : 2
Juventud
23 Oct
Juventud
0 : 0
Penarol
17 Oct
Progreso
2 : 0
Juventud
11 Oct
Juventud
2 : 0
Racing Montevideo
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Montevideo City

(Away)
06 Nov
Libertad San Carlos
0 : 6
Montevideo City
01 Nov
Boston River
1 : 2
Montevideo City
27 Oct
Penarol
0 : 2
Montevideo City
25 Oct
Montevideo City
3 : 1
CA Cerro
21 Oct
Montevideo City
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 13 9 3 1 22:8 30
2 Montevideo City 13 9 1 3 26:14 28
3 Club Nacional 13 8 2 3 19:13 26
4 Maldonado 13 6 4 3 18:10 22
5 Penarol 13 6 5 2 17:9 22
6 Racing Montevideo 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
7 Progreso 13 6 1 6 13:15 19
8 Juventud 13 4 6 3 12:10 18
9 CA Cerro 13 5 3 5 15:19 18
10 Wanderers 13 4 4 5 14:19 16
11 Boston River 13 4 3 6 15:17 15
12 Albion 13 4 1 8 15:20 13
13 Defensor Sp. 13 3 3 7 16:23 12
14 Danubio 13 2 4 7 7:15 10
15 Cerro Largo 13 1 6 6 10:17 9
16 Central Esp. 13 2 2 9 8:22 8
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)