Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juventud vs Montevideo City

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juventud play Montevideo City in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. It looks like a close match. Recently, Juventud averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Montevideo City averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Juventud won 2, Montevideo City won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 17, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Juventud and 1.75 for Montevideo City. This points to a Montevideo City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Juventud
24%
Draws
43%
Montevideo City
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Montevideo City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Juventud picked up more points recently compared to Montevideo City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Juventud Clean Sheet 12%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Montevideo City
Matches Played 35 36
Wins 10 18
Draws 12 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Juventud
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Montevideo City
0:1
May 24, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Montevideo City
3:2
Mar 20, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Juventud
2:4
Sep 30, 2024 Segunda Division
Montevideo City vs Juventud
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 32 / 100
Montevideo City 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Montevideo City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Montevideo City or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Juventud attacking → ← attacking Montevideo City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Montevideo City let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Juventud went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Montevideo City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 61
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Penarol00000:00
2Central Esp.00000:00
3Cerro Largo00000:00
4Racing Montevideo00000:00
5Liverpool M.00000:00
6Boston River00000:00
7CA Cerro00000:00
8Defensor Sp.00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Penarol43015:29
2Cerro Largo42115:17
3Central Esp.42114:37
4Racing Montevideo41302:16
5Liverpool M.41212:25
6Boston River41125:64
7CA Cerro41032:73
8Defensor Sp.40222:52
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maldonado431011:410
2Club Nacional43015:59
3Wanderers41306:36
4Montevideo City42027:86
5Albion41123:44
6Juventud41126:84
7Progreso41034:73
8Danubio40223:62