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Juventud vs Racing Montevideo Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juventud host Racing Montevideo in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Juventud at 1.28 goals for, 1.22 against; Racing Montevideo at 1.04 for, 0.96 against. Past meetings favor Juventud slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.44 - 0.94) back Juventud to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Juventud
35%
Draws
20%
Racing Montevideo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Racing Montevideo have managed 1.04 goals a game lately — Juventud are scoring more at 1.28.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Juventud taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Juventud Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Racing Montevideo
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.28 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo
3:0
Apr 4, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Juventud
2:1
Oct 20, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Juventud
0:0
Jun 8, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 85 / 100
Racing Montevideo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Racing Montevideo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Juventud remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Racing Montevideo has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Racing Montevideo
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0
CA Cerro
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1
Danubio
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
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Racing Montevideo

(Away)
26 Sept
Progreso
2 : 1
Racing Montevideo
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2
Boston River
09 Sept
Racing Montevideo
2 : 4
Central Esp.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 8 6 1 1 19:8 19
2 Liverpool M. 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
3 Penarol 8 5 2 1 14:6 16
4 Maldonado 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
5 Club Nacional 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 CA Cerro 8 4 2 2 9:9 14
7 Juventud 8 3 4 1 10:6 13
8 Racing Montevideo 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
9 Wanderers 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
10 Progreso 8 4 0 4 7:9 12
11 Boston River 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
12 Defensor Sp. 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
13 Cerro Largo 8 0 5 3 5:10 5
14 Central Esp. 8 1 2 5 5:13 5
15 Danubio 8 0 4 4 2:9 4
16 Albion 8 0 0 8 6:16 0
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)