Sport Picks

Juventud vs Racing Montevideo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay

Juventud

3 - 0

Racing Montevideo

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Larregui B.

45'

Cruz A.

84'

Mimbacas F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Juventud

20%

Draws

40%

Racing Montevideo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Juventud carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Juventud a 36% chance of winning this.
Juventud have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Juventud, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Juventud Clean Sheet 20%

Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Juventud	Racing Montevideo
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	13	10
Draws	11	10
Losses	7	8
Goals Scored	1.16	1.11
Goals Conceded	0.97	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Juventud vs Racing Montevideo

2:0

Sep 17, 2026 Copa Uruguay

Juventud vs Racing Montevideo

3:0

Apr 4, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Racing Montevideo vs Juventud

2:1

Oct 20, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Racing Montevideo vs Juventud

0:0

Jun 8, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Juventud vs Racing Montevideo

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Larregui B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cruz A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Racing Montevideo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74

Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 36 / 100

Racing Montevideo 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Juventud Racing Montevideo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juventud scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Racing Montevideo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Juventud went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Racing Montevideo

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)

01 Nov

Liverpool M.

2 : 0

Juventud

28 Oct

Nacional Florida

0 : 2

Juventud

23 Oct

Juventud

0 : 0

Penarol

17 Oct

Progreso

2 : 0

Juventud

11 Oct

Juventud

2 : 0

Racing Montevideo

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Racing Montevideo

(Away)

31 Oct

Racing Montevideo

3 : 1

Cerro Largo

24 Oct

Defensor Sp.

3 : 3

Racing Montevideo

17 Oct

Racing Montevideo

3 : 0

Wanderers

11 Oct

Juventud

2 : 0

Racing Montevideo

04 Oct

Racing Montevideo

0 : 1

Penarol

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