Sport Picks

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay

Juventud

3 - 0

Racing Montevideo

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Larregui B.

45'

Cruz A.

84'

Mimbacas F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Juventud

20%

Draws

34%

Racing Montevideo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Racing Montevideo carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Juventud a 46% chance of winning this.
Racing Montevideo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Juventud, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Juventud Clean Sheet 68%

Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Juventud	Racing Montevideo
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	10	15
Draws	11	9
Losses	13	6
Goals Scored	1.21	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.29	0.87
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Copa Uruguay

Juventud vs Racing Montevideo

3:0

Apr 4, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Racing Montevideo vs Juventud

2:1

Oct 20, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Racing Montevideo vs Juventud

0:0

Jun 8, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Juventud vs Racing Montevideo

2:1

Apr 19, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Juventud vs Racing Montevideo

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Larregui B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cruz A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Racing Montevideo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 86 / 100

Racing Montevideo 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Juventud Racing Montevideo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juventud scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Racing Montevideo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Juventud went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Racing Montevideo

1 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)

17 Sept

Juventud

3 : 0

Racing Montevideo

13 Sept

Juventud

1 : 1

Danubio

06 Sept

Club Nacional

2 : 2

Juventud

02 Sept

Central Esp.

3 : 0

Juventud

29 Aug

Juventud

2 : 0

Maldonado

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Racing Montevideo

(Away)

17 Sept

Juventud

3 : 0

Racing Montevideo

12 Sept

Racing Montevideo

3 : 2

Boston River

09 Sept

Racing Montevideo

2 : 4

Central Esp.

06 Sept

CA Cerro

1 : 0

Racing Montevideo

03 Sept

Club Oriental De Futbol

1 : 2

Racing Montevideo

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