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Juventud vs Rocha

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Rodriguez B.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2021 game between Juventud and Rocha finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Juventud
20%
Draws
34%
Rocha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Rocha have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Juventud are scoring more at 1.19.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Juventud taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
Rocha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Rocha
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2021 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Rocha
1:0
Jul 8, 2021 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Juventud
2:1
Nov 9, 2020 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Juventud
1:1
Sep 14, 2020 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Rocha
1:1
May 19, 2012 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Juventud
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Rocha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 77 / 100
Rocha 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Rocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Rocha has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Juventud went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1
Juventud
15 Aug
Juventud
0 : 1
Montevideo City
07 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Juventud
01 Aug
Maldonado
0 : 0
Juventud
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
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Rocha

(Away)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
21 Sept
Lavalleja (Minas)
:
Rocha
23 Aug
Rocha
0 : 3
Rentistas
03 Aug
Rocha
2 : 1
Huracan Buceo
20 Jul
Rocha
2 : 0
Paso de la Arena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albion 22 13 5 4 31:18 44
2 Danubio 22 12 5 5 24:14 41
3 Racing Montevideo 22 10 8 4 27:16 38
4 Defensor Sp. 22 11 4 7 33:21 37
5 CA Cerro 22 10 7 5 26:20 37
6 Central Esp. 22 9 6 7 29:29 33
7 Juventud 22 8 5 9 27:27 29
8 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 7 4 11 21:27 25
9 Atenas 22 5 9 8 20:17 24
10 Rampla Juniors 22 5 6 11 14:32 21
11 Villa Teresa 22 4 6 12 17:32 18
12 Rocha 22 4 3 15 20:36 15
Promotion - Primera Division 2022 (Apertura)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2021 (Play Offs)