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Juventude Conquista W vs Lusaca W

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2021
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AI Match Summary

Lusaca W in this Baiano Women 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusaca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Juventude Conquista W
15%
Draws
42%
Lusaca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juventude Conquista W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Lusaca W have won more games recently than Juventude Conquista W.
  • Model gives Juventude Conquista W a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano Women 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Juventude Conquista W Clean Sheet 18%
Lusaca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventude Conquista W Lusaca W
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 1 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.79 3.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2022 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Juventude Conquista W
1:3
Sep 12, 2021 Baiano Women
Juventude Conquista W vs Lusaca W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventude Conquista W 85 / 100
Lusaca W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventude Conquista W Lusaca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventude Conquista W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventude Conquista W found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (19 games).

Lusaca W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Lusaca W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lusaca W
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventude Conquista W

(Home)
22 Oct
Juventude Conquista W
1 : 3
Doce Mel W
19 Oct
Lusaca W
1 : 3
Juventude Conquista W
15 Oct
Bahia W
2 : 0
Juventude Conquista W
12 Oct
Juventude Conquista W
2 : 0
Jacuipense W
08 Oct
Juventude Conquista W
0 : 1
Vitoria W
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Lusaca W

(Away)
25 Oct
Bahia W
14 : 2
Lusaca W
18 Oct
Lusaca W
0 : 8
Bahia W
11 Oct
Sao Francisco BA W
0 : 2
Lusaca W
04 Oct
Lusaca W
1 : 0
Juazeirense W
27 Sept
Vitoria W
4 : 0
Lusaca W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 5 4 1 0 18:1 13
2 Vitoria W 5 4 0 1 13:9 12
3 Doce Mel W 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
4 Juventude Conquista W 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
5 Lusaca W 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
6 Fluminense de Feira W 5 0 0 5 3:19 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2021 (Play Offs)