Sport Picks

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Juventus-SP vs Paulista

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Luis Gustavo
57' Event
Keven
90' Event
Matheus Santos
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Juventus-SP
20%
Draws
40%
Paulista
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Paulista haven't matched Juventus-SP's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Juventus-SP's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Juventus-SP have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Juventus-SP, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Juventus-SP Clean Sheet 68%
Paulista Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventus-SP Paulista
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Copa Paulista
Paulista vs Juventus-SP
1:0
Jul 26, 2026 Copa Paulista
Juventus-SP vs Paulista
3:1
Mar 17, 2016 Paulista A2
Paulista vs Juventus-SP
1:0
Mar 12, 2008 Paulista
Juventus-SP vs Paulista
2:1
Apr 7, 2007 Paulista
Juventus-SP vs Paulista
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventus-SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Keven
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Paulista Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Gustavo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventus-SP 68 / 100
Paulista 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventus-SP Paulista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventus-SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juventus-SP scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Paulista let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Juventus-SP remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juventus-SP VS Paulista
1 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventus-SP

(Home)
22 Aug
Juventus-SP
5 : 0
Osasco Sporting
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
08 Aug
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Juventus-SP
02 Aug
Juventus-SP
0 : 1
Primavera EC
26 Jul
Juventus-SP
3 : 1
Paulista
Page 1 of 6

Paulista

(Away)
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1
Paulista
01 Aug
Paulista
0 : 2
Osasco Sporting
26 Jul
Juventus-SP
3 : 1
Paulista
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Bandeirante 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Gremio Prudente 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Marilia 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
2 Uniao Sao Joao 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
3 Comercial 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
4 Piracicaba 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus-SP 6 3 1 2 11:5 10
2 Primavera EC 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Paulista 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
4 Osasco Sporting 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 0 3 12:8 9
3 Sao Caetano 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
4 Santo Andre 6 3 1 2 4:5 0
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)