Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juventus U23 vs Ternana

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Puczka D.
24'
Sub
Anghele L. In: Faticanti G.
Out: Anghele L.
36'
Brugarello M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Juventus U23 and Ternana finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juventus U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Juventus U23
35%
Draws
32%
Ternana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Juventus U23 have managed 1.3 goals a game lately — Ternana are scoring more at 1.34.
  • Model gives Juventus U23 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Juventus U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Ternana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventus U23 Ternana
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Juventus U23 vs Ternana
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Juventus U23
1:0
Jun 27, 2020 Coppa Italia Serie C
Ternana vs Juventus U23
1:2
Apr 22, 2020 Coppa Italia Serie C
Juventus U23 vs Ternana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventus U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Puczka D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerra S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ternana Compare

Top Goalscorer Aramu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventus U23 42 / 100
Ternana 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventus U23 Ternana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventus U23 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Ternana has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Juventus U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventus U23 VS Ternana
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventus U23

(Home)
16 Aug
Juventus U23
1 : 2
Forli FC
04 Aug
Alessandria
1 : 2
Juventus U23
25 Jul
Pisa
1 : 1
Juventus U23
06 May
Juventus U23
0 : 2
Pianese
03 May
Juventus U23
2 : 2
Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6

Ternana

(Away)
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Ternana
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3
Pianese
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2
Ternana
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2
Perugia
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1
Ternana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)