Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juventus U23 vs Vis Pesaro

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pagnucco F.
27'
Sub
Paganini L. In: Di Renzo G.
Out: Paganini L.
48' Event
Faticanti G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Juventus U23
20%
Draws
0%
Vis Pesaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juventus U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Juventus U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Juventus U23 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Juventus U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vis Pesaro, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Juventus U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventus U23 Vis Pesaro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.28 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Juventus U23 vs Vis Pesaro
2:2
Mar 8, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Juventus U23 vs Vis Pesaro
1:3
Nov 3, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Juventus U23
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Juventus U23
2:1
Dec 23, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Juventus U23 vs Vis Pesaro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventus U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pagnucco F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faticanti G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Vis Pesaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicastro F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventus U23 77 / 100
Vis Pesaro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventus U23 Vis Pesaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventus U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vis Pesaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Vis Pesaro has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Juventus U23 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Juventus U23 VS Vis Pesaro
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventus U23

(Home)
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0
Juventus U23
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0
Juventus U23
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
Juventus U23
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

Vis Pesaro

(Away)
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1
Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Ostiamare
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0
Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4