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Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie A Allianz Stadium, Turin
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Match Events

61'
Sub
Saelemaekers A. In: Loftus-Cheek R.
Out: Saelemaekers A.
61'
Sub
Moreira D. In: Cisse A.
Out: Moreira D.
61'
Sub
Rabiot A. In: Chukwueze S.
Out: Rabiot A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Juventus
30%
Draws
31%
AC Milan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • AC Milan haven't matched Juventus's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Juventus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Juventus Clean Sheet 20%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventus AC Milan
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie A
Juventus vs AC Milan
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 Serie A
AC Milan vs Juventus
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie A
Juventus vs AC Milan
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Serie A
Juventus vs AC Milan
2:0
Jan 3, 2025 Super Cup
Juventus vs AC Milan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventus Compare

Top Goalscorer Gatti F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

AC Milan Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisse A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventus 42 / 100
AC Milan 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventus AC Milan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventus found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: AC Milan conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Juventus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Juventus VS AC Milan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventus

(Home)
20 Sept
Juventus
2 : 0
Atalanta
17 Sept
Juventus
5 : 0
Nijmegen
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Juventus
1 : 1
AC Milan
29 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Parma
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AC Milan

(Away)
20 Sept
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2
Benfica
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
06 Sept
Juventus
1 : 1
AC Milan
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)